|
Illustration: Sarah Grillo/Axios
March's inflation numbers tell one key story: the surge in energy prices driven by the Iran war, Axios' Courtenay Brown writes.
- Big price spikes in other categories — airfares, groceries, etc. — will likely follow as the energy shock reverberates through the economy.
📈 By the numbers: Overall inflation rose 0.9% last month, the largest jump since June 2022.
- Gas prices surged 21%. That's their biggest monthly gain in nearly 60 years, accounting for nearly three-quarters of the total rise.
Core inflation — which strips out food and energy prices — rose just 0.2%, the same pace as the previous month.
Data: Bureau of Labor Statistics; Chart: Courtenay Brown/Axios
⚡️ Energy shocks take time to have a broader effect.
- This one mostly hasn't registered yet in other, non-energy industries — but they're bracing for impact.
✈️ Airfares surged 2.7% in March, after February's 1.4% increase. More price hikes are likely amid skyrocketing jet fuel costs.
- Food prices were flat last month, though farmers and food manufacturers are warning about fertilizer shortages as the Strait of Hormuz remains effectively closed.
🍳 There's one bit of good news: Egg prices are down about 60% from this time last year as the bird flu crisis fades.
- Bloomberg's BEC index — that's bacon, egg and cheese, for all the non-New Yorkers out there — fell to $2.65 in March, down nearly 20% year over year.
- But coffee is up about 30%, fueled by tariffs and climate change.
The bottom line: The squeeze on Americans' budgets is just starting, with huge uncertainty about whether price increases will lead to less spending and an economic slowdown.
|
No comments:
Post a Comment